Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 10.789167 12.029900 13.368364 14.921688 16.677410 18.603390 20.880244
2025-06-15 9.007951 10.698484 12.653331 15.089450 18.055830 21.565474 26.054362
2025-06-22 7.463313 9.359596 11.688476 14.778240 18.798483 23.891004 30.891852
2025-06-29 6.223047 8.187369 10.732034 14.303066 19.237632 25.892732 35.677809
2025-07-06 5.332707 7.324820 10.032949 14.033358 19.876939 28.232964 41.325418
2025-07-13 4.818419 6.890987 9.839330 14.412282 21.458258 32.122690 49.909903
2025-07-20 4.397636 6.526196 9.683441 14.807552 23.108078 36.366592 59.847678
2025-07-27 3.991512 6.124969 9.411922 14.972809 24.407474 40.254348 69.954620
2025-08-03 3.573731 5.649895 8.959157 14.771628 25.057065 43.148434 78.884202
2025-08-10 3.210284 5.215892 8.514185 14.512052 25.550701 45.827991 87.932031
2025-08-17 2.899972 4.832380 8.103884 14.249302 25.985512 48.450189 97.381020
2025-08-24 2.648072 4.519183 7.775164 14.083506 26.565683 51.427590 108.164793
2025-08-31 2.434126 4.254663 7.511441 14.021967 27.378099 55.089108 121.458195
2025-09-07 2.306591 4.131836 7.491186 14.427842 29.203901 61.203030 141.868759
2025-09-14 2.126281 3.891497 7.222495 14.300293 29.890096 64.972554 157.602846
2025-09-21 1.941749 3.623811 6.870974 13.954046 30.044387 67.566643 171.029774
2025-09-28 1.795091 3.414557 6.611327 13.766826 30.525654 71.018448 187.642939
2025-10-05 1.723397 3.346829 6.630272 14.190793 32.504687 78.533270 217.731583
2025-10-12 1.657067 3.282876 6.649222 14.616657 34.561701 86.671364 252.086174
2025-10-19 1.575540 3.178866 6.570929 14.805347 36.057430 93.628931 284.922931
2025-10-26 1.471784 3.017495 6.350226 14.623985 36.564626 97.957238 310.526393
2025-11-02 1.372806 2.857322 6.115828 14.378862 36.863923 101.759972 335.568061
2025-11-09 1.282188 2.707446 5.889897 14.126514 37.105605 105.454569 361.470795